One work in 4 weeks is tough to take on a lightly-raced colt that will likely be the 3rd choice. I’m likely going to toss Taiba on the win end… even though the 1-post is not the same detriment it was before the gate change, it does deter me on Mo Donegal. He may save ground, but I don’t really like him closing from the back like jhe will…. I’m with you on Smile Happy. I didn’t like him in the Risen Star or the Blue Grass, and expected to have no interest in the Ky Derby. Upon studying the PPs though, I realized that he looked like one of the top 5 or 6, and at a likely 15-1 to 20-1 will definitely be the longest priced of the 6 (imo only the 6 names mentioned in this response have a chance to win). I have narrowed my choices so far to four horses, with longer odds listed in preference:
1-Smile Happy
2-Messier
3-Epicenter
4-Zandon
Taiba and Mo Donegal can win, but they will beat me if they do so.
One work in 4 weeks is tough to take on a lightly-raced colt that will likely be the 3rd choice. I’m likely going to toss Taiba on the win end… even though the 1-post is not the same detriment it was before the gate change, it does deter me on Mo Donegal. He may save ground, but I don’t really like him closing from the back like jhe will…. I’m with you on Smile Happy. I didn’t like him in the Risen Star or the Blue Grass, and expected to have no interest in the Ky Derby. Upon studying the PPs though, I realized that he looked like one of the top 5 or 6, and at a likely 15-1 to 20-1 will definitely be the longest priced of the 6 (imo only the 6 names mentioned in this response have a chance to win). I have narrowed my choices so far to four horses, with longer odds listed in preference:
1-Smile Happy
2-Messier
3-Epicenter
4-Zandon
Taiba and Mo Donegal can win, but they will beat me if they do so.
Nicely presented..very helpful