US vs. Euro Trends 2022 Breeders' Cup Edition
US vs. Euro Trends 2022 Breeders' Cup Edition
With the post below, we are officially kicking off our ITM Plus Breeders’ Cup Content. As a reminder, you can see our detailed content plan HERE. As always, we have big plans and a mix of content that will be FREE and exclusive to ITM Plus.
This is the third edition of the US vs. Euro Trends.
A lot of the concepts are still applicable so it might be worthwhile to check out the 2020 and 2021 versions.
If you have any questions, please reach out on Twitter.
I am a visual learner and for years I’ve played around with new ways to explore horse racing data. As it relates to the Breeders’ Cup, I started tracking trends of where the winners were stabled. Eventually, I layered in trainers (went deeper here this year), again to see if there was any signal in the outcomes.
My approach, and the tables below, are pretty straightforward. I use conditional formatting to help me visualize whether winners of a particular race were stabled in the East, West, or Europe. Perhaps you think this is oversimplifying but I’d suggest this be used as a starting point for deeper analysis.
I’ll try to walk through how I use these tables to inform my own analysis. And it should go without saying but, nothing here represents absolutes. Also, the focus here is on the winner, so even the strongest of trends may not be fully useful for the structuring of vertical wagers.
Before we jump in, it’s worth noting that the 2020 Breeders’ Cup, also at Keeneland, makes this task a little more challenging. The racing calendar was significantly rearranged and I’m honestly not sure what the impact was.