ITM Plus - The Grade 1 Churchill Downs
Horse by Horse Analysis and Strategy from PTF
I’m fully in the throes of Kentucky Derby madness but taking a few minutes for myself at Drake’s in Lexington. In just a few hours I’ll get to do two of the funner shows of the year. First up, it’s Final Answers with Maggie and JK – You can watch along live on YouTube tonight around 7:30PM ET. The LiveStream is scheduled, as you can see below.
Don’t worry if you can’t watch live. You can always get the replay on the ITM YT channel. That reminds me – if anyone reading this is not yet subscribed to the YouTube channel, what are you waiting for?? One of the easiest ways you can help support you, and it’ll help you find a lot more of our content.
Earlier today, I finished what has become our most popular video for each Kentucky Derby - The Best Bets Segment with Randy Moss and Jerry Bailey. Give it a watch - AND A LIKE!
After the show, it’s dinner with the team and then . . .the return of the Pro Players’ Derby show. This year I’ve got Duke and Paul Matties lined up, and it will be great. That one I’ll post to the green and black podcast feeds as soon as we wrap (12:30am ish), and I’m sure we’ll link to that in a newsletter tomorrow. Sean Boarman fans, please note: we did get a great 30-minute from him on the Derby itself, you can find here, but he was too crazed this year to fully cap for the show we usually do. I think he got some FOMO, though, when I told him we’d also have Duke and Paul. Maybe for Breeders’ Cup we can get all three.
I wanted to highlight the written content I’ve done for At the Races and I also wanted to do some plus EXCLUSIVE writing (you’ll find the latter below).
Here you’ll find my horse-by-horse analysis of the 2025 Kentucky Oaks and the 2025 Kentucky Derby
Very soon, ATR will also post a h x h of the American Turf, but in this space, I’m going to turn my attention to the Churchill Downs, a race where I wrote “WAR” as my top observation when doing my notes. The good news is that despite the live favorites in here, my three top selections might all be 6-1 + (no spoilers), and you read my thoughts on every runner after the jump. Before we go there, however, I want to point out to our free subs that supporting ITM Plus will get you tons of extra content around Derby and all year long. Our full Derby package includes proprietary speed figures, grid picks from the team, plus coverage of every race Friday and Saturday. ITM Plus subs also help support all the FREE content we’re doing. . .
Let’s dive into the Grade 1 Churchill Downs Stakes: