The famed Rob Dove (one of the Top 10 Pro Punters in the UK) checks in with his analysis of the International runners at Breeders’ Cup. As you’ve likely heard PTF discuss, Rob has a way of “converting” sectionals of international runners into a Beyer speed figure equivalent.
Additionally, Steven Bonnick provided detailed form analysis to accompany the speed figure conversions. Together, it’s quite useful information that you won’t get anywhere else!
Thanks to Steven and Rob for their detailed thoughts!
Equivalent Beyers are derived from Timeform Ratings, where applicable.
Prices quoted are correct at the time of writing.
Juvenile Turf Sprint
Tiger Belle
Equivalent Beyer: 82
A fast filly who continues to improve, coming into this off a career-best in France last time out. Hasn’t got any form on firm going and needs to improve on her best efforts, although could get a decent trip here behind duelling speed. Best price of 12/1 currently looks about right.
Big Evs
Equivalent Beyer: 92
A very fast horse who only has one bad run to his name. That came against elders in the Nunthorpe two back but he bounced right back to his best next time out in the Flying Childers. Firm ground is fine and clear chance here on ratings, but the Weaver pair inside are potential spoilers. Will be hard to beat if he can clear on his own terms, but there has to be a doubt about that and the market hasn’t missed him. 11/4 looks about right.
Givemethebeatboys
Equivalent Beyer: 87
This colt has a little bit to find on form but has a couple of nice angles. Most notably, the drop back to this distance looks like it could really suit this strong-travelling, keen sort, who is going to love stalking off a furious gallop. Nicely drawn to do pull those tactics off and double-figure prices look attractive, as he showed that he is not out of place in Group 1 races in Europe last time out. 11/1 looks more than fair.
Starlust
Equivalent Beyer: 83
Steady improvement has brought him out of handicaps and into Group company. Behind Givemethebeatboys last time out, however, and doesn’t look up to this. 33/1 reflects his chance.
Cherry Blossom
Equivalent Beyer: 83
Comes into the race off a solid fourth in Group 1 company and represents the Aidan O’Brien yard, so hard to dismiss too easily. Needs more on her best form and I’m not sure dropping to this distance on fast ground will see her to best effect. 14/1 looks a bit short.
Valiant Force
Equivalent Beyer: 81
Raced on the wrong side when behind Givemethtebeatboys in May prior to springing a huge shock at Royal Ascot, showing blistering speed on his side to win with plenty in hand. Looked to get bogged down in soft ground in a Group 1 in France last time out and plenty to prove now off a break, particularly as the draw has not been kind to him. 16/1 doesn’t offer much value.